Kenya’s economy grew 5.0% in the second quarter of 2025, a faster pace than the 4.6% in the same period last year, supported by steady gains in agriculture, services, and a rebound in construction and mining, according to new data from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics.

Transport and storage rose 5.4%, boosted by higher diesel consumption, a 10.3% increase in Standard Gauge Railway passenger numbers, and stronger cargo volumes.

Construction returned to growth, expanding 5.7% after a 3.7% contraction a year earlier, supported by surges in cement consumption and imports of steel and bitumen. Mining and quarrying grew 15.3 percent, rebounding strongly after a 2024 slump.

Electricity and water supply climbed 5.7%, lifted by higher geothermal, wind, and thermal generation, though hydro and solar output declined.

Selected Sector Growth Rates, Q2 2025:

Sector Nominal (KSh Bn) Growth Rate (%)
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 1,268.4 4.4
Transport & Storage 652.3 5.4
Financial & Insurance 411.9 6.6
Construction 357.7 5.7
Mining & Quarrying 72.6 15.3
Electricity & Water Supply 128.2 5.7

Inflation eased to an average of 3.89% in the quarter, down from 4.87% in 2024, driven by lower food and beverage prices. The shilling strengthened 1.2% against the US dollar but weakened against the euro, pound, and yen. The current account deficit widened to KSh 83.7 billion from KSh 47.4 billion a year earlier.

On the financial side, the Central Bank cut the policy rate to 9.75% in June from 13.0% in 2024, easing borrowing costs. Broad money supply grew 8.1% to KSh 6.45 trillion, while domestic credit expanded 10.5% to KSh 7.56 trillion, reflecting both government borrowing and private sector uptake. The Nairobi Securities Exchange 20-share index surged 47% to 2,440 points, with traded shares more than doubling to 580 million units worth KSh 12 billion.

Accommodation and food services slowed to 7.8% growth, down from 35% a year earlier, as international visitor arrivals moderated. Information and communication expanded 6.0%, supported by a 38% jump in mobile data usage and higher voice traffic, though mobile money transactions declined 1.4%.

Table 2: Selected Macroeconomic Indicators, Q2 2025

Indicator Q2 2024 Q2 2025
Average Inflation (%) 4.87 3.89
Current Account Balance (KSh Bn) -47.4 -83.7
CBR (%) 13.0 9.75
Broad Money Supply (KSh Trn) 5.97 6.45
Domestic Credit (KSh Trn) 6.84 7.56
NSE 20 Index 1,656 2,440

Kenya’s Q2 data shows the economy is gaining momentum with broad-based sectoral growth, but challenges remain in agriculture exports, domestic tourism, and the external balance, underscoring the delicate balance between recovery and underlying structural weaknesses.


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